Analyses - Articles
7.4% a year from a company that lends to people rejected by banks. Is it safe?
OneMain pays a yield that banks can only dream of, and this year it’s growing faster than it has in years. Yet the stock is down 16% since January and the dividend has stalled. The secret lies in a single percentage point that determines half the payout.
The Fastest-Growing AI Stock Trades at 9 Times Earnings. What’s the Catch?
Super Micro’s revenue nearly quadrupled in a year, and its outlook points to $80 billion. Yet the market values the stock like a bank, not an AI leader. The reason lies in how much of every dollar the company keeps and who actually pays for its manufacturing.
Is This the Safest 5% Dividend in the Most Dangerous Sector?
A Panamanian airline raised its dividend, then a few weeks later war doubled its fuel costs. Profit fell by half, but the payout stayed the same. How long can it keep that up, and how can you tell when it’s running on reserves?
Palantir Is Up 96%. Why Haven’t Shareholders Made Any Money This Year?
Revenue +96%, commercial business surpassing government for the first time, and the outlook raised for the third time in a year. Yet the stock is flat since January. That’s because the price of $178 already reflects something Palantir failed to deliver in the third quarter.
AMD Is Down 20% in a Month. Is It Cheap After the Drop, or Still Expensive?
AMD stock lost 11% in a single day, even though its biggest customers promised that same week to spend even more on AI. The trigger was Intel and the PC market. But hidden inside its warning is a threat that will hit AMD somewhere else entirely.
Is This the Cheapest Growth Stock Outside AI?
Profit +70%, revenue +36%, and forward P/E around 13. Regeneron jumped 13% on a day when tech stocks were falling. But a large part of that growth has an accounting explanation, and analysts’ targets are below the current price. How much of it is real business growth?
Reddit lost 29% of its value in a day. Google stopped sending it traffic, and the whole internet has the same problem
Revenue rose 53%, profits 70, and yet it was the worst day in the company’s history. Reddit paid the price for Google answering queries itself and sending almost nobody to websites anymore. Industry-wide figures show this isn’t just one company’s problem.
SoFi Stock Is 46% Below Its High. Is It Cheap, or Does It Just Look Cheap?
Revenue is up 44%, profit 73%, and management has promised a figure for 2027 for the first time. Yet the stock is nearly half its annual high and down from n
A Slightly Spoiled Soup. Why Did the Famous Company Have to Cut Its Dividend After a 67% Plunge?
Campbell's stock is near its lows after a year of declines, and screeners show a 6.8% yield. But in September, management cut the dividend for the first time since 2001, even though it had the cash to pay it. What will be left of that figure for someone buying today?
Record margins, AWS’s fastest growth in 5 years, stock down 6%
Over the past 2 days, all 3 big companies reported earnings: Microsoft $MSFT rose after its results, Alphabet $GOOG lost over 12%, and Amazon plunged as much as 10% right after the market close before recovering some of its losses. Yet it reported the most profitable quarter in its history. To…
Is This Europe’s Most Overlooked Dividend Stock?
It has raised its dividend for thirty years straight, has low debt, and pays 5.9% a year. Yet it’s valued like a bank in trouble. And the founders have just decided to give up control. Is this a reward for patience, or a trap?
Why Is the Market Overlooking Qualcomm’s Entry into the Defense Business?
Qualcomm is 30% below its peak because it’s losing Apple. The military laptop it unveiled with Anduril was almost ignored by the market. Yet it shows exactly which customer is leaving and which is arriving—and what that will do to the share price.
Google has a problem: shares plunge 10%
$GOOG shares are plunging dramatically! Down 10% right after earnings. Google posted its best cloud results ever, yet its stock is plunging 10%—a case of AI killing Google’s business from within.
Three defense stocks have fallen as much as 48%. Peace threatens only one of them
Rheinmetall, Hensoldt, and GE Aerospace all carry the same label, and all three are falling. But Ukraine talks realistically affect the profits of only one of them. The market is punishing the other two for something entirely different.
It has raised its dividend every year since 1967. Why is the market dumping it now?
The only real estate fund in the world with Dividend King status has raised its payout for the 59th consecutive time this year. Yet the stock is down 14% from its peak, and government bond yields not seen in a quarter-century are scaring off buyers. What are you paying that premium for?
The Safest Stock in Your Portfolio Just Took a Hit from Brazil
Coca-Cola raised its outlook for the third straight time, yet its stock fell. The numbers show that growth for the “American safe haven” is now driven mainly by Brazil, Mexico, and India—and Brazil’s real just lost nearly 12% in a single day.
PayPal rejected $60 per share. Today it’s worth $56. Who got it wrong?
The board called an offer of $60.50 per share too low this year. The market is paying less today. Earnings per share are rising, net income is falling, and a single number that most investors aren’t tracking will decide who got it wrong.
The Purest Silver Bet Has Fallen 59%. Is That Enough?
Debt-free, with half a billion dollars in cash and operating profit growing 61% a year. Yet Hecla Mining shares lost nearly a quarter of their value in a month. Anyone who understands why knows what the next move in silver will do to them.
Abel sold, the index kicked it out, and it fell 73%. Is this a dividend buying opportunity?
Three blows in a single year and the stock 73% below its peak. Yet the company raised its dividend this year, approved $600 million in buybacks, and its cash flow jumped 47%. Who's wrong here: the market or management?
Is Caterpillar Finally Cheap After the Plunge, or Still Expensive?
The stock has lost 36% since June and took two hits in October for two different reasons. Yet it is still valued as an AI winner. The October 29 results will show whether record orders justify the premium—or whether it is just a story no one can see through.