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These stocks are now being sold by analysts

KJ
Kryštof Jáně
· · 13 min read

While most recommendations on Wall Street are "buy" or "hold", there is a small group of stocks where skepticism prevails. Analysts see either an overly optimistic valuation, the peak of an earnings cycle, or a business that is hitting expensive money. Where exactly does their opinion diverge from the market, and when is it worth listening to them?

Key points

  • A sell recommendation is much rarer on Wall Street than it seems. When most analysts agree on a negative view, it is worth finding out why.

  • Strong results do not necessarily mean an attractive stock. In some of the selection, analysts see a problem precisely in what the current price already expects.

  • Five negative recommendations, but five completely different reasons. High valuation, expensive money, or a change in the cycle can lead to the same rating, but to a completely different investment thesis.

  • One stock that analysts recommend selling but Warren Buffett is buying heavily. What does he see in it?

  • What if analysts are wrong? For each of the five stocks, there is a specific variable that can completely change their current analysis.

Sell recommendations are rare on Wall Street. Investment banks have historically had a cautious relationship with the "Sell" rating, because a negative view complicates relationships with companies and institutional clients. Most covered stocks therefore carry a "Buy" or "Hold" rating, and an openly negative consensus of analysts appears only exceptionally. All the more attention deserves a situation where the majority of experts who follow a title are on the sell side.

The current environment, however, directly encourages such situations. The US Fed raised rates again in mid-September, the ten-year bond yield is around 5%, and mortgage rates have climbed to about 7%. The conflict in the Middle East is also keeping energy and commodity prices high. Some companies are reporting record profits as a result, while others are facing strong pressure.

The following five cover completely different sectors, but they have one thing in common: the majority of analysts who cover them today recommend reducing rather than adding to positions.

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